HGB Analysis

Model-backed
analysis.

Long-form breakdowns of playoff matchups, player performance, and what the underlying numbers actually say.

All articles 2 articles
June 1, 2026
2026 Stanley Cup Final Preview: Carolina vs Vegas

The model has Carolina at 54.9% — a tighter margin than their dominant underlying numbers suggest. The reason is Carter Hart, and the reason it still leans Carolina is Frederik Andersen.

playoffspreviewstanley-cup-finalcarolina-hurricanesvegas-golden-knights
May 21, 2026
2026 Conference Finals Preview

What the HGB model sees for Colorado vs Vegas and Carolina vs Montreal — the four best teams left, and why the underlying numbers don't agree with the bracket results.

playoffspreviewwestern-conferenceeastern-conference