Goalie Stats
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| # | Goalie | Season | Team | GP | TOI | SA | GA | GAA | GSAx ↓ | SV% |
|---|
GSAx CORE
Goals Saved Above Expected — xGA minus actual GA. Positive = saved more goals than expected given shot quality faced. 0 = exactly average. HGB XGBoost model (AUC 0.77), all situations.
xGA
Expected goals against using HGB XGBoost model (AUC 0.77), trained on shot location, angle, type, rebound, and rush context. Fenwick shots only — blocked and empty-net excluded.
vs Exp
Actual SV% minus expected SV% (xGA ÷ SA). Positive means the goalie is outperforming their expected save rate; negative = underperforming. Rate-based complement to the cumulative GSAx.